
Farmer’s Almanac Predicts Late Fall for Texas in 2025
(East Texas) Summer has a firm grip on East Texas and the state of Texas. Temperatures are topping out in the mid to upper 90s, and the temperature humidity index, well, that's making it feel like 102° to 104° around here.
As summer continues, there are those who look forward to fall. Cooler temps, grabbing a pumpkin spiced latte, wrapping up in a comfy fleece or flannel blanket, and watching the sun go down earlier. That's what they're dreaming of right now.
What The Old Farmer’s Almanac Says
Well, those much cooler days and evenings are a few months away, according to the Old Farmer's Almanac Forecast for Fall 2025.
Looking at the nation as a whole, much of the U.S. looks like it's going to be in for a warm and dry fall, especially the Pacific Northwest, central plains, and southeast Atlantic coast. The northern tier states and the northeast are poised for a cool but dry fall. The only near-normal and wet areas are expected to be in Montana and North and, South Dakota, and along the Gulf Coast states.
How's Fall In Texas Looking This Year?
The OId Farmer's Almanac classifies Texas as Zone 5 - South Central, and that summer isn't going to let go easily. Summer heat and storms will persist, and it predicts a slow cool down going into November. So we'll have to be patient on fall's arrival.
Here's the forecast for fall in Texas:
- Warm start: The early part of fall will likely feel more like summer, especially in September.
- Stormy mid-season: Thunderstorms and rain are possible, especially mid-September and mid-October.
- Late fall cool-down: Cooler air filters into the state during late October and November, especially in northern and central areas.
- Rainfall: Some of the wettest conditions in the region could affect Texas this fall. Flash flooding could be a concern during stormy periods.
After reading the forecast, that weather pattern is pretty consistent with what meteorologists and the National Weather Service predict each year.
READ MORE --> 10 Unique Places To See Fall Color In East Texas
How Accurate Is The Old Farmer’s Almanac?
Good Housekeeping says the Almanac claims to be correct about 80% of the time, whereas meteorologists and independent studies say the Almanac's forecasting accuracy rate is roughly 50%, according to WFAA.
The century-old publication has been creating seasonal forecasts for farmers for fall planting and harvesting, and bases its predictions on a secret formula based on solar activity, tidal patterns, and historical weather patterns instead of relying on modern weather predicting tools.

What The Climate Prediction Center Expects
The Climate Prediction Center is also calling for a drier-than-normal fall with average temperatures beginning in September. Yes, there will be storm threats, but it is also the second biggest storm season in Texas as the seasons change.
If it's anything like the past few years, it looks as if East Texans will still be wearing shorts well into fall and maybe even into January!
You're in Texas after all. If you don't like the weather, give it a minute and it'll change for you.
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Gallery Credit: KATELYN LEBOFF
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